The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 36.1%
Draw 31.4%
Rochdale 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
27.4%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
24.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
36.4%
27.3%
Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 8% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Crewe has the most likely position - 19 (16.02%), has project points - 53, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (67.9%), has project points - 34, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has very small quality6, small importance15, small match rating11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rochdale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
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