The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 48.9%
Draw 26.5%
Rochdale 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.4%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
24.9%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 4. Ure K. 19. Lunt O. 10. White J. 11. Tabiner J. 17. Holicek M. 14. Gibson J. 9. March J.
20. Waller S. (G) 13. Adebayo-Rowling T. 44. Flint A. 3. Wilson K. 2. Tasker C. 8. Gilmour H. (C) 17. Adeeko B. 7. Hayes C. 21. Taylor K. 45. Middleton G. 39. Brown D.
Substitutes
20. Agius C. 30. Dancey S. 3. Hutchinson R. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 23. McNeill C. 29. Thibaut A. 8. Thomas C.
33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 14. Francis E. 19. Hannant L. 26. Sherring S. 11. Silcott-Duberry Z. 12. Spaven J. (G)
Coaches
Bell L.
Watson I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Holicek M. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Holicek M. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
50', White J. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Ure K. (A),
60', White J. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
63', Brown D. ↓, Dieseruvwe E. ↑,
63', Hayes C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
63', Tasker C. ↓, Beckwith S. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Tabiner J. (Own goal),
75', Gibson J. ↓, Dancey S. ↑,
75', Ure K. ↓, Hutchinson R. ↑,
75', Tabiner J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
79', Adeeko B. ↓, Silcott-Duberry Z. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Flint A. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - League One and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
Crewe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Rochdale have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Crewe for this game.
Confirmed absences for Crewe: Demetriou M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Rochdale: East R.
(Inactive)
Ebanks-Landell E.
(Inactive)
Jenkins W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Moss D.
(Inactive)
Pettit C.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Crewe: Hutchinson R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Rochdale: Bilongo B.
(Inactive)
Rodney D.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Crewe has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:20 (averaging 1.4:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crewe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 1.2:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Crewe
13
5
6
2
16:16
0
21
17
Rochdale
13
4
3
6
15:22
-7
15
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 5.97% Rochdale: 0.66%
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Booth T. (G) 
Ure K. 
Holicek M. 
Adeeko B. 
Brown D. 
Agius C. 
