Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 45

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	2.95	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.96	3.69	2.31
	2.96	3.69	2.32
	2.9	3.7	2.2
	2.92	3.56	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.26)	3.61 ↑ (3.59)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
32%

Draw
26.1%

Wrexham
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wrexham will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Stryjek M. (G) 28. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 4. Williams Z. 2. Cooney R. 25. Austerfield J. 21. Rowe A. 3. Adebisi R. 17. Holicek M. 20. Nevitt E. 11. Tabiner J.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 20. Cannon A. 8. Young L. (C) 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.
Substitutes
33. Agius C. 24. Finney C. 29. Kempster-Down Z. 30. Kirk C. 40. Lenarcik M. 7. Long Ch. 10. Tracey S.	17. Bolton L. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 3. McFadzean C. 4. Tozer B.
Coaches
Bell L.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Palmer O. ⚽, Mullin P. (A),
45', Rowe A. 🟨,
45', McClean J. 🟨,
45', Williams Z. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Mullin P. ⚽, Palmer O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McClean J. ↓, McFadzean C. ↑,
55', Cooney R. 🟥,
61', 0 - 3, Cannon A. ⚽, Lee E. (A),
62', Tabiner J. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
66', Mullin P. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
66', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
69', Rowe A. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
76', Cannon A. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
76', Barnett R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
86', Nevitt E. 🟨,
87', Nevitt E. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Wrexham is Qualified for League One

Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
13.04.24	Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
09.04.24	Morecambe - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
13.04.24	Wrexham - Forest Green Rovers	6:0 ✺
09.04.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Colchester United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Doncaster Rovers - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham	0:3
English League Two
30.09.23	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	3:3
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	0:1

Upcoming Matches