Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.83
	4.1	3.6	1.8
	4.1	4	1.8
	3.95	3.6	1.82
	4.23	3.93	1.83
	4.2	3.6	1.8
	4.25	3.94	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.44)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
23%

Draw
24.9%

Wycombe Wanderers
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.9%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

17.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crewe Alexandra - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (58.13%), has project points - 35, has currently - 25, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Wycombe has the most likely position - 7 (16.81%), has project points - 75, has currently - 58, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 18, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.

Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wycombe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wycombe is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
26.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	Crewe Alexandra - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
15.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
08.02.22	Crewe Alexandra - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
01.03.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Cambridge United	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Accrington Stanley - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
22.02.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	1:3 ✺
19.02.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Cheltenham Town	5:5 ✺
12.02.22	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.10.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
English League Two
20.01.18	Crewe Alexandra - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3
26.09.17	Wycombe Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	3:2
14.02.17	Crewe Alexandra - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1
27.09.16	Wycombe Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	5:1
English FA Cup
19.11.13	Crewe Alexandra - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
09.11.13	Wycombe Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	1:1

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