Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Wigan Athletic		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.31	5.2	8.4
	1.33	5.48	9.64
	1.29	5.25	10
	1.34	5.6	10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	5.36 ↑ (4.75)	9.43 ↑ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
72.2%

Draw
17.7%

Crewe Alexandra
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19.5%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.9%

17.3%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Wigan has the most likely position - 2 (46.32%), has project points - 89, has currently - 59, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (40.26%), has project points - 34, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 13, importance 43, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.

Recent matches Wigan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wigan is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
12.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
08.02.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Stoke City - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League One
01.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLTT
- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
12.02.22	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
08.02.22	Crewe Alexandra - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
01.02.22	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Crewe Alexandra - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
22.01.22	Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	2:0
English League One
17.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
10.10.20	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	3:0
23.01.16	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English EFL Trophy
06.10.15	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	2:3
English League One
29.08.15	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	1:0

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