Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 1

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)


	Criciúma		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.2	5.25
	1.65	3.55	5
	1.61	3.7	6.76
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.64	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.09)	5.69 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
57.2%

Draw
26.5%

Tombense
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

31.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Criciúma - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Criciúma will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Criciúma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tombense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Criciúma to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.04.23	Brusque - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Criciúma - Brusque	1:0 ✺
29.03.23	Hercílio Luz - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Criciúma - Hercílio Luz	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Criciúma - Avaí	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Tombense FC
Copa do Brasil
12.04.23	Palmeiras - Tombense	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:2 ✺
26.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Pouso Alegre - Tombense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.22	Criciúma - Tombense	2:0
19.07.22	Tombense - Criciúma	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
01.11.20	Criciúma - Tombense	0:1
30.09.20	Tombense - Criciúma	1:0

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