Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 23

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic


	Criciúma		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.8
	2.05	3.25	3.75
	2.11	3.25	4.05
	2.05	3.28	3.89	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.06	3.35	3.74	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	3.76 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
45.8%

Draw
29%

Vasco da Gama
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Criciúma - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Angel W. 14. Trauco M. 5. Higor Meritao 8. Newton 2. Allano 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 7. Fellipe Mateus 11. Bolasie Y.	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 3. Leo 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 85. Mateus Carvalho 10. Payet D. 28. Adson 77. Rayan Vitor 7. David
Substitutes
30. Alves H. 45. Arthur Caike 20. Dudu 99. Eduardo Melo 15. Eliedson 29. Figueiredo T. 66. Guilherme 21. Joao Carlos 17. Matheusinho 6. Ronald Lopes 32. Teixeira M. (G) 33. Walisson Maia	16. Erick Marcus 19. GB 98. JP 13. Keiller (G) 66. Leandrinho 4. Maicon 17. Rodriguez E. 2. Rodriguez J. 32. Rojas R. 31. Rossi 20. Sforza J. 5. Souza
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Paiva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Allano (A),
22', Allano 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, David ⚽, Mateus Carvalho (A),
44', Rodrigo 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Rayan Vitor ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
62', Higor Meritao ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
64', Rayan Vitor ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
66', Hugo Moura ↓, Souza ↑,
73', Claudinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
73', Allano ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
77', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
81', Lucas Piton ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
81', Payet D. ↓, JP ↑,
82', Angel W. 🟨,
83', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
87', Rossi 🟨,
90+1', Adson ↓, Maicon ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Matheusinho (A),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Criciúma will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Criciúma: Marcelo Hermes (Suspended) Matheusinho (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Alex Teixeira (Injury) Coutinho (Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Injury) Jair (Injury) Paulinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Criciúma - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Juventude - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Criciúma - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Flamengo - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.07.24	Atlético Goianiense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.07.24	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.04.24	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	0:4
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	2:1
09.07.22	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	0:1
19.11.16	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	1:0
30.07.16	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
13.10.13	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	3:2
27.07.13	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	3:2

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