Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Atalanta		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	3.3
	1.91	4.25	3.4
	1.96	4.25	3.55
	1.97	4.2	3.3
	2.01	4.16	3.52
	1.95	4.2	3.4
	1.96	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	4.22 ↓ (4.25)	3.42 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
49.1%

Draw
22.8%

Ajax
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

22.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

18.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.5%	8.4%	22.1%

Atalanta - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 190 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 132 - 69.5%). Ajax will win (votes: 42 - 22.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 8.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 63% – 76%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Atalanta has a good chance of round of 16 (64%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Ajax has a chance of round of 16 (41%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atalanta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
24.10.20	Atalanta - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Midtjylland - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.20	Napoli - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
04.10.20	Atalanta - Cagliari	5:2 ✺
30.09.20	Lazio - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
24.10.20	VVV-Venlo - Ajax	0:13 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Ajax - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	Ajax - Heerenveen	5:1 ✺
04.10.20	Groningen - Ajax	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Ajax - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

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