The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atalanta 71.5%
Draw 18.1%
Sampdoria 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
20.3%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.2%
19.4%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.1%
4%
7.9%
Atalanta - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(89 of 101 users predict this - 88.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.81% – 94.43%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Atalanta has the most likely position - 5 (20.2%), has project points - 67, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (41%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (39.81%), has project points - 27, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality58, importance52, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 4.
Atalanta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atalanta is certain favorite.
There will not play in Atalanta: Muratore S.
(Injury)
Palomino J. L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Atalanta: Zappacosta D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: Colley O.
(Injury)
Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
De Luca M.
(Knee Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
Sabiri A.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Atalanta to win the game is with odds 1.34.
Last 22 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-9.
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