Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Crotone		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.2
	3.3	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.18
	3.37	3.55	2.25
	3.2	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.34	3.55	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	3.49 ↓ (3.71)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crotone
29.2%

Draw
27.4%

Cagliari
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.8%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

17.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	15%	68.3%

Crotone - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 10 - 16.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 56.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cagliari has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Cagliari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cagliari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
22.02.21	Juventus - Crotone	3:0 ✺
14.02.21	Crotone - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Milan - Crotone	4:0 ✺
31.01.21	Crotone - Genoa	0:3 ✺
23.01.21	Fiorentina - Crotone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.02.21	Cagliari - Torino	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Cagliari - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Lazio - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
31.01.21	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Genoa - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Cagliari - Crotone	4:2
28.01.18	Crotone - Cagliari	1:1
10.09.17	Cagliari - Crotone	1:0
Club Friendly
05.08.17	Crotone - Cagliari	2:2
Italian Serie A
26.02.17	Crotone - Cagliari	1:2
02.10.16	Cagliari - Crotone	2:1
Italian Serie B
18.01.16	Crotone - Cagliari	3:1

Upcoming Matches