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Genoa - Cagliari

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 20
  • Date: 12 January 2026, Monday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Genoa Cagliari
    Genoa Cagliari
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.15 2.9 4.1 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 2.08 2.98 4.25
    GGBet 2.14 2.99 4.08 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 2.05 2.9 3.9
    BetNow 2.22 3.09 4.14
    Bovada 2.16 2.85 4.2
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.13 ↑
    (2.11)    		 2.95 ↓
    (2.98)    		 4.11 ↓
    (4.13)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Genoa
    44.6%    		Draw
    32.2%    		Cagliari
    23.1%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    45.1% 31.9% 23%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    44.9% 31.7% 23.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    37.5% 46.4% 16.1%

    Genoa - Cagliari Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 21 - 37.5%). Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 46.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.3% โ€“ 59.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 10 - 40%). Tie (votes: 15 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Cagliari (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Genoa (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Cagliari (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 15 - 51.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ItalyLeali N. (G)
    27. ItalyMarcandalli A.
      5. NorwayOstigard L.
    22. MexicoVasquez J. (C)
    15. EnglandNorton-Cuffy B.
    17. UkraineMalinovskyi R.
    32. DenmarkFrendrup M.
    77. IcelandEllertsson M. E.
      3. SpainMartin A.
      9. PortugalVitinha
    29. ItalyColombo L.
    		  1. ItalyCaprile E. (C)
      2. ItalyPalestra M.
    15. UruguayRodriguez J.
      6. ItalyLuperto S.
    33. SlovakiaObert A.
      8. FranceAdopo M.
    16. ItalyPrati M.
      4. ItalyMazzitelli L.
    77. AngolaLuvumbo Z.
      9. TurkeyKilicsoy S.
    94. ItalyEsposito Se.
    Substitutes
    30. ParaguayCuenca Martinez H. F.
    21. ItalyEkhator J.
    40. ItalyFini S.
    10. BrazilJunior Messias
    35. LithuaniaLysionok E. (G)
    73. ItalyMasini P.
    86. AlbaniaNuredini J.
    34. DenmarkOtoa S.
    20. ItalySabelli S.
    39. ItalySommariva D. (G)
      8. RomaniaStanciu N.
      2. NorwayThorsby M.
    76. ItalyVenturino L.
    		29. ItalyBorrelli G.
    21. ItalyCavuoti N.
    24. ItalyCiocci G. (G)
    18. ItalyDi Pardo A.
    10. ItalyGaetano G.
      3. ItalyIdrissi R.
    27. ZambiaLiteta J.
    30. ItalyPavoletti L.
    32. PortugalPedro J.
    23. ItalyPintus N.
    12. AlbaniaSherri A. (G)
    37. FranceTrepy Y.
    28. ItalyZappa G.
    Coaches
         ItalyDe Rossi D.
    		     ItalyPisacane F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 7', 1 - 0, Colombo L. ⚽, Malinovskyi R. (A),
    • 15', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
    • 30', Frendrup M. 🟨,
    • 42', Obert A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 46', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
    • 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
    • 52', Masini P. 🟨,
    • 54', Mazzitelli L. 🟨,
    • 58', Adopo M. 🟨,
    • 62', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
    • 69', Esposito Se. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
    • 69', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
    • 71', Luperto S. 🟨,
    • 74', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
    • 74', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
    • 75', 2 - 0, Frendrup M. ⚽,
    • 78', 3 - 0, Ostigard L. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
    • 82', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
    • 82', Vitinha ↓, Junior Messias ↑,

    Preview

  • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 15)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.
  • Genoa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Cagliari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Genoa might have a minor edge in this game.
  • There will not play in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Onana J. (International duty)
  • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
  • There are questionable in Cagliari: Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    10Cagliari94148:13-513
    13Genoa93158:13-510

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Genoa: 0.06% Cagliari: 0.05%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    08.01.26 Milan - Genoa 1:1 ✺
    03.01.26 Genoa - Pisa 1:1 ✺
    29.12.25 Roma - Genoa 3:1 ✺
    21.12.25 Genoa - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    14.12.25 Genoa - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7
    TTLLL
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    08.01.26 Cremonese - Cagliari 2:2 ✺
    02.01.26 Cagliari - Milan 0:1 ✺
    27.12.25 Torino - Cagliari 1:2 ✺
    21.12.25 Cagliari - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    13.12.25 Atalanta - Cagliari 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7
    TLWTL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    22.11.25 Cagliari - Genoa 3:3
    07.03.25 Cagliari - Genoa 1:1
    24.11.24 Genoa - Cagliari 2:2
    29.04.24 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0
    05.11.23 Cagliari - Genoa 2:1
    Italian Serie B
    01.03.23 Cagliari - Genoa 0:0
    07.10.22 Genoa - Cagliari 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lecce - Genoa ✺
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lazio - Cagliari ✺

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