Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Cagliari		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	3	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.95
	2.49	3.23	2.93	Watch
	2.68	3.15	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.99 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
37.4%

Draw
30.5%

Sassuolo
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	32.4%	2.9%

Cagliari - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 1 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cagliari (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cagliari (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Cagliari (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sassuolo (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 9 - 60%). Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. (C) 32. Pedro J. 3. Idrissi R. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 16. Prati M. 90. Folorunsho M. 33. Obert A. 29. Borrelli G. 94. Esposito Se.	49. Muric A. (G) 25. Coulibaly W. 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 5. Cande F. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 7. Volpato C. 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 18. Di Pardo A. 17. Felici M. 10. Gaetano G. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 6. Luperto S. 77. Luvumbo Z. 4. Mazzitelli L. 26. Mina Y. 30. Pavoletti L. 15. Rodriguez J. 34. Sarno V. (G)	9. Cheddira W. 3. Doig J. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 13. Turati S. (G) 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
37', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Lauriente A. ⚽,
58', Obert A. 🟨,
62', Zappa G. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
62', Folorunsho M. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
73', 1 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽, Felici M. (A),
74', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
74', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
74', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
76', Borrelli G. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
84', Adopo M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
84', Esposito Se. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
85', Kone I. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
85', Volpato C. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
86', Fadera A. 🟨,
89', Idrissi R. 🟨,
90', Walukiewicz S. 🟨,
90+6', Iannoni E. 🟨,
90+8', Caprile E. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Di Pardo A. (Calf Injury) Rog M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Rest) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Satalino G. (Inactive) Skjellerup L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Mina Y. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Paz Y. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Verona - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Cagliari - Frosinone	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Sassuolo - Roma	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.05.24	Sassuolo - Cagliari	0:2
11.12.23	Cagliari - Sassuolo	2:1
16.04.22	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:0
Coppa Italia
19.01.22	Sassuolo - Cagliari	1:0
Italian Serie A
21.11.21	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:2
31.01.21	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:1
20.09.20	Sassuolo - Cagliari	1:1

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