Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Fiorentina		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.67	3.9	5.25
	1.66	3.9	5.2	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.4
	1.68	3.98	5.69
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.94	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.87 ↓ (3.93)	5.48 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
57.8%

Draw
24.8%

Crotone
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

14.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	7.8%	5.6%

Fiorentina - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (156 of 180 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.7% – 91.64%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Fiorentina has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fiorentina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crotone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
17.01.21	Napoli - Fiorentina	6:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.01.21	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
10.01.21	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
06.01.21	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
03.01.21	Fiorentina - Bologna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
17.01.21	Crotone - Benevento	4:1 ✺
10.01.21	Verona - Crotone	2:1 ✺
06.01.21	Crotone - Roma	1:3 ✺
03.01.21	Inter Milan - Crotone	6:2 ✺
22.12.20	Crotone - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
31.03.18	Fiorentina - Crotone	2:0
29.10.17	Crotone - Fiorentina	2:1
19.03.17	Crotone - Fiorentina	0:1
26.10.16	Fiorentina - Crotone	1:1

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