Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	Crotone		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.5
	2.85	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.6
	2.92	3.26	2.68
	2.88	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.93	3.22	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.95)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
33.3%

Draw
30.1%

Genoa
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genoa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	44.2%	32.6%

Crotone - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%). Genoa will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Genoa has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Genoa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
23.01.21	Fiorentina - Crotone	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Crotone - Benevento	4:1 ✺
10.01.21	Verona - Crotone	2:1 ✺
06.01.21	Crotone - Roma	1:3 ✺
03.01.21	Inter Milan - Crotone	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
24.01.21	Genoa - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.01.21	Juventus - Genoa	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
09.01.21	Genoa - Bologna	2:0 ✺
06.01.21	Sassuolo - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.09.20	Genoa - Crotone	4:1
14.04.18	Genoa - Crotone	1:0
Coppa Italia
30.11.17	Genoa - Crotone	1:0
Italian Serie A
19.11.17	Crotone - Genoa	0:1
22.01.17	Genoa - Crotone	2:2
28.08.16	Crotone - Genoa	1:3

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