Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Crotone		Napoli

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.33	Watch
	8.25	5.5	1.34
	8.5	5.25	1.34	Watch
	8.2	5.2	1.34
	9.24	5.46	1.36
	9	5.25	1.33	Watch
	9.1	5.55	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.61 ↑ (8.25)	5.39 ↑ (5.3)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crotone
11.1%

Draw
17.7%

Napoli
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

18%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

16.2%

78.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	11.1%	69.8%

Crotone - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Napoli will win (votes: 44 - 69.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 58.5% – 81.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Group Stage)).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (59%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Crotone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Napoli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Napoli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
29.11.20	Bologna - Crotone	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Crotone - Lazio	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	Torino - Crotone	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Crotone - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Crotone - SPAL	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	AZ Alkmaar - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.20	Napoli - Roma	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Napoli - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.20	Napoli - Milan	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Bologna - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.05.18	Napoli - Crotone	2:1
29.12.17	Crotone - Napoli	0:1
12.03.17	Napoli - Crotone	3:0
23.10.16	Crotone - Napoli	1:2

Upcoming Matches