Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Bologna		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5	Watch
	1.65	4.1	5
	1.65	4.2	4.9	Watch
	1.62	4.1	5
	1.64	4.35	5.39
	1.62	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.64	4.4	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.24 ↑ (4.17)	5.13 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
58.7%

Draw
22.6%

Crotone
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	7.9%	7.9%

Bologna - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (75 of 89 users predict this - 84.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.71% – 91.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Bologna has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Bologna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crotone has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bologna have a series of home games.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bologna won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Coppa Italia
25.11.20	Bologna - Spezia	2:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.20	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Bologna - Napoli	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Bologna - Cagliari	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.10.20	Bologna - Reggina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
21.11.20	Crotone - Lazio	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	Torino - Crotone	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Crotone - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Crotone - SPAL	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Cagliari - Crotone	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
04.12.18	Bologna - Crotone	3:0
Italian Serie A
08.04.18	Crotone - Bologna	1:0
04.11.17	Bologna - Crotone	2:3
14.01.17	Crotone - Bologna	0:1
21.08.16	Bologna - Crotone	1:0
Italian Serie B
07.02.15	Crotone - Bologna	0:2
20.09.14	Bologna - Crotone	0:2

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