Match Info
EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finalsDate: 17 July 2024, WednesdayLocation: Seaview (Belfast)Referee: Ziskason H. (Fai)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
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Crusaders |
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Caernarfon Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
4.33 |
5.25 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
4.2 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.5 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.52 |
4.4 |
6 |
|
 |
1.54 |
4.4 |
5.31 |
Watch |
 |
1.4 |
4.4 |
6 |
|
 |
1.53 |
4.45 |
5.37 |
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 |
1.53 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.34) |
4.36 ↓
(4.95) |
5.49 ↓
(7.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crusaders
61.8% | Draw
21.3% | Caernarfon Town
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crusaders: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
33.  Tuffey J. (G)
17.  Offord K.
7. Lowry P. (C)
25. Clarke R.
43. Barr L.
20. Larmour D.
6. Weir R.
9. Lecky A.
12. Blaney J.
15. O'Rourke J.
27. Nixon S.
| 1. McMullan S. (G)
2.  Owen M.
4. Williams G.
27.  Sears R.
5. Mooney P.
18.  Mendes P.
8. Gosset D.
20. Lloyd L.
10. Thomas D. (C)
15. Hill M.
7. Clarke Z.
|
| Substitutes |
28. Boyd J.
26. Donnelly R.
14. Forsythe J.
62. James J.
8. Kennedy B.
41. Kerr R. (G)
18. Owens J.
10. Stewart J.
11. Teelan J.
23.  Vance B.
| 17. Downey S.
16. Evans O.
21. Faux J.
3. Jones M.
30. Pritchard T. (G)
13. Thomas H. (G)
14. Williams M.
|
| Coaches |
Caddell D.
| Davies R.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Mendes P. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
- 35', Blaney J. ↓, Forsythe J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Nixon S. ↓, Kennedy B. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Kennedy B. ⚽, Clarke R. (A),
- 49', 2 - 1, Larmour D. ⚽, Clarke R. (A),
- 55', Hill M. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
- 69', Clarke R. ↓, Teelan J. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Lowry P. ⚽,
- 75', Larmour D. 🟨,
- 78', Lecky A. ↓, Owens J. ↑,
- 78', Offord K. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
- 86', Forsythe J. 🟨,
- 89', Weir R. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 102', Lloyd L. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
- 102', Thomas D. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
- 102', Mooney P. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
- 111', Boyd J. 🟨,
- Penalties (7 - 8)
- 1, Kennedy B. (Pen),
- 1, Gosset D. (Pen),
- 2, Forsythe J. (Pen),
- 2, Mendes P. (Pen),
- 3, Larmour D. (Pen),
- 3, Owen M. (Pen),
- 4, Boyd J. (Pen),
- 4, Clarke Z. (Pen),
- 5, Teelan J. (Pen),
- 5, Faux J. (Pen),
- 6, O'Rourke J. (Pen),
- 6, McMullan S. (Pen),
- 7, Lowry P. (Pen),
- 7, Downey S. (Pen),
- 8, Barr L. (Pen),
- 8, Williams M. (Pen),
- 9, Owens J. (Pen),
- 9, Williams G. (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2. Crusaders is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Caernarfon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Crusaders is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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