Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Ziskason H. (Fai)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Crusaders		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.25
	1.5	4.3	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.4	6
	1.54	4.4	5.31	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.53	4.45	5.37
	1.53	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.34)	4.36 ↓ (4.95)	5.49 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crusaders
61.8%

Draw
21.3%

Caernarfon Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

18.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Crusaders - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crusaders: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tuffey J. (G) 17. Offord K. 7. Lowry P. (C) 25. Clarke R. 43. Barr L. 20. Larmour D. 6. Weir R. 9. Lecky A. 12. Blaney J. 15. O'Rourke J. 27. Nixon S.	1. McMullan S. (G) 2. Owen M. 4. Williams G. 27. Sears R. 5. Mooney P. 18. Mendes P. 8. Gosset D. 20. Lloyd L. 10. Thomas D. (C) 15. Hill M. 7. Clarke Z.
Substitutes
28. Boyd J. 26. Donnelly R. 14. Forsythe J. 62. James J. 8. Kennedy B. 41. Kerr R. (G) 18. Owens J. 10. Stewart J. 11. Teelan J. 23. Vance B.	17. Downey S. 16. Evans O. 21. Faux J. 3. Jones M. 30. Pritchard T. (G) 13. Thomas H. (G) 14. Williams M.
Coaches
Caddell D.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Mendes P. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
35', Blaney J. ↓, Forsythe J. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nixon S. ↓, Kennedy B. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Kennedy B. ⚽, Clarke R. (A),
49', 2 - 1, Larmour D. ⚽, Clarke R. (A),
55', Hill M. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
69', Clarke R. ↓, Teelan J. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Lowry P. ⚽,
75', Larmour D. 🟨,
78', Lecky A. ↓, Owens J. ↑,
78', Offord K. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
86', Forsythe J. 🟨,
89', Weir R. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
102', Lloyd L. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
102', Thomas D. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
102', Mooney P. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
111', Boyd J. 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Kennedy B. (Pen),
1, Gosset D. (Pen),
2, Forsythe J. (Pen),
2, Mendes P. (Pen),
3, Larmour D. (Pen),
3, Owen M. (Pen),
4, Boyd J. (Pen),
4, Clarke Z. (Pen),
5, Teelan J. (Pen),
5, Faux J. (Pen),
6, O'Rourke J. (Pen),
6, McMullan S. (Pen),
7, Lowry P. (Pen),
7, Downey S. (Pen),
8, Barr L. (Pen),
8, Williams M. (Pen),
9, Owens J. (Pen),
9, Williams G. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Crusaders is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caernarfon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Crusaders is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Caernarfon Town - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Crusaders - Salford City	1:3 ✺
02.07.24	Crusaders - Airdrieonians	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Crusaders	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Crusaders - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTL
- Caernarfon Town
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Caernarfon Town - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cliftonville - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Caernarfon Town - Crusaders	2:0

Upcoming Matches