Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Nantporth Stadium (Bangor)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Digital, S4C
Wales	S4C Clic


	Caernarfon Town		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.8
	4	3.75	1.8
	3.8	4	1.84
	3.99	3.9	1.79	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.75
	3.92	3.84	1.82
	3.65	3.85	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.5)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	1.8 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
24.3%

Draw
24.3%

Crusaders
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

23%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Caernarfon Town - Crusaders Predictions

Users Predictions: Crusaders will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 5. Mooney P. 3. Jones M. 18. Mendes P. 8. Gosset D. 15. Hill M. 10. Thomas D. (C) 20. Lloyd L. 7. Clarke Z.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 20. Larmour D. 6. Weir R. 12. Blaney J. 43. Barr L. 7. Lowry P. (C) 25. Clarke R. 8. Kennedy B. 17. Offord K. 10. Stewart J. 15. O'Rourke J.
Substitutes
17. Downey S. 21. Faux J. 30. Pritchard T. 13. Thomas H. (G) 24. Tibbetts J. (G) 4. Williams G. 14. Williams M.	70. Bond K. 28. Boyd J. 26. Donnelly R. 87. Harrison B. 62. James J. 41. Kerr R. (G) 9. Lecky A. 30. Maguire B. 27. Nixon S. 11. Teelan J. 23. Vance B.
Coaches
Davies R.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Owen M. ⚽,
11', Jones M. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
15', Offord K. 🟨,
31', Stewart J. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
45+1', Clarke R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Offord K. ↓, Lecky A. ↑,
46', Stewart J. ↓, Nixon S. ↑,
63', Clarke Z. 🟨,
67', Lowry P. 🟨,
71', Kennedy B. ↓, Teelan J. ↑,
71', Clarke R. ↓, Vance B. ↑,
71', Hill M. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
77', Thomas D. 🟨,
77', O'Rourke J. 🟨,
80', Thomas D. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
80', Clarke Z. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
84', Owen M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Nantporth Stadium.

Crusaders could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Crusaders will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cliftonville - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Newtown - Caernarfon Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWTL
- Crusaders FC
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Crusaders - Salford City	1:3 ✺
02.07.24	Crusaders - Airdrieonians	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Crusaders	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Crusaders - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
06.05.24	Crusaders - Coleraine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTLW

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