Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN, VIX+, ViX Premium
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atlético San Luis		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.72	3.92	5.03
	1.67	3.96	4.94
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.74	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)	3.75 (3.75)	4.85 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
55.8%

Draw
24.9%

Mazatlan
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.9%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 30. Galindo B. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 15. Lucas Esteves 28. Medina J. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C) 20. Flores L.	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 199. Gonzalez I. 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 25. Godinez S. 11. Barcenas Y. 17. Ovalle J. 14. Zaleta M. 15. Rubio B. 7. Dudu
Substitutes
25. Barajas F. 4. Dominguez J. 17. Duarte A. 7. Galdames B. 14. Garcia M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 5. Meraz R. 19. Munoz S. 26. Perez S. 11. Rodriguez D.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 208. Chavez L. 16. Esquivel J. 3. Franco R. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Abascal G.	Bueno S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Macias O. 🟨,
17', Merolla L. 🟨,
34', Almada F. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Flores L. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
47', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Merolla L. (Own goal),
57', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Medina J. (A),
63', Godinez S. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
64', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
64', Gonzalez I. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
70', Dudu ↓, Arce B. ↑,
71', Rubio B. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
73', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽, Lainez M. (A),
78', Esquivel J. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽,
82', Torres R. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
88', Lucas Esteves ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
88', Medina J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
90+6', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3.

Atlético San Luis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazatlan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético San Luis is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mazatlan: Santos S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury) Fabio Gomes (Inactive) Sierra J. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	14:18	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
28.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Puebla	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Necaxa - Atlético San Luis	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
27.02.26	Mazatlan - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.12.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:3
Mexican Liga MX
03.10.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:1
05.04.25	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	2:1
12.07.24	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:2
12.01.24	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	0:1
22.09.23	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	3:2
02.04.23	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	2:1

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