Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN


	Cruz Azul		Club León

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.25
	1.5	4.45	5.4	Watch
	1.52	4.59	6.06
	1.48	4.60	5.86	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	4.38 ↑ (3.75)	5.74 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
62.2%

Draw
21.4%

Club León
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Cruz Azul - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cruz Azul (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 2. Sanchez J. 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 29. Rotondi C. 8. Faravelli L. 6. Lira E. (C) 18. Romero L. 19. Rodriguez C. 20. Paradela J. 9. Sepulveda A.	23. Garcia O. (G) 31. Santos S. 21. Barreiro S. 22. Frias A. 26. Reyes S. 20. Echeverria R. 7. Moreno I. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 6. Beltran Cruz F. 27. Estrada A. 14. Ayon E.
Substitutes
3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 16. Marquez J. 194. Morales A. 5. Orozco J. 15. Rivero I. 25. Samano Salgado F. 193. Velazquez K.	25. Bellon P. 24. Cisneros C. 18. Funes Mori R. 2. Gauthier V. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 3. Medina P. 28. Ramirez D. 19. Rodriguez E. 183. Valadez L. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Berizzo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', Ayon E. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Sepulveda A. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
63', Romero L. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
69', Ayon E. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
70', Estrada A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', Faravelli L. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Orozco J. (Own goal),
80', Sepulveda A. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
80', Santos S. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
81', Paradela J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
81', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽, Piovi G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 5.

In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A. (Knee Injury) Rivero I. (Ribs Injury)

There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in León: Blanco A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Cruz Azul - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cruz Azul	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWT
- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
19.07.25	Club León - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Club León - Atlético San Luis	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Club León - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Club León - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
11.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1
08.05.25	Club León - Cruz Azul	2:3
15.04.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1
14.09.24	Club León - Cruz Azul	1:2
21.02.24	Club León - Cruz Azul	2:3
28.10.23	Cruz Azul - Club León	1:0
08.04.23	Club León - Cruz Azul	0:0

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