The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 36.7%
Draw 27%
Toluca 36.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
26.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Cruz Azul - Toluca Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudino A. (G) 2. Mozo A. 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 20. Paradela J. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 7. Ibanez N. 21. Fernandez G.
22. Garcia L. (G) 4. Bruno Mendez 13. Luan 6. Pereira F. 17. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 2. Barbosa D. 8. Castro N. 11. Helinho 15. Perez P. 9. Vega A. (C) 26. Paulinho
Substitutes
14. Calero J. 60. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 55. Gonzalez R. 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 15. Orquin R. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
184. Aceves S. 10. Angulo J. 12. Beltran R. (G) 3. Briseno A. 29. Diaz Price J. 198. Estrada J. 35. Gutierrez E. 206. Orta E. 205. Segura E. 23. Virgen O.
Coaches
Huiqui J.
Mohamed A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ibanez N. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
37', Barbosa D. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽, Ibanez N. (A),
45+2', Palavecino A. 🟨,
45+2', Mohamed A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Barbosa D. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
52', Ditta W. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Helinho (Penalty Awarded),
56', 2 - 2, Vega A. ⚽, Helinho (A),
57', Piovi G. 🟨,
73', Perez P. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
76', Ibanez N. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
76', Palavecino A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Vega A. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
82', Vega A. ↓, Diaz Price J. ↑,
88', Piovi G. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
88', Mozo A. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
90', Helinho ↓, Aceves S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 3, Fernandez G. ⚽, Montano A. (A),
90+7', Paradela J. ↓, Calero J. ↑,
90+9', Montano A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 2.
In recent outings, Cruz Azul has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Toluca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Toluca has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Toluca: Lopez I.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz M.
(Knee Injury)
Simon S.
(International duty)
del Villar E.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Toluca: Gonzalez H.
(Injury)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero F.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:27 (averaging 1.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).
Brazil
Mexico
South America
Usa
Watch
#ad
Gudino A. (G) 
Ditta W. 
Piovi G. 
Fernandez G. 
Luan 
Paulinho 
Ebere C. 
