The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 37.3%
Draw 28.9%
Cruz Azul 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
27.5%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
27%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Pachuca - Cruz Azul Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 50.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Pachuca (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruz Azul will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cruz Azul (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 26. Bautista A. 28. Montiel E. 18. Dominguez A. 23. Quinones L. 11. Idrissi O. 99. Cadiz J.
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 5. Orozco J. 33. Piovi G. 2. Sanchez J. 15. Rivero I. (C) 19. Rodriguez C. 29. Rotondi C. 20. Paradela J. 18. Romero L. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 8. Guzman V. 9. Hernandez I. 29. Kenedy 19. Lopez J. 5. Pedraza P. 14. Sanchez C. 32. Togni G.
7. Bogusz M. 3. Campos O. 8. Faravelli L. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 6. Lira E. 16. Marquez J. 194. Morales A. 161. Rodarte J. 193. Velazquez K.
Coaches
Lozano J.
Larcamon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Orozco J. 🟥,
20', Rivero I. 🟨,
45+3', Quinones L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
56', Quinones L. 🟥,
62', Aceves A. 🟥,
65', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
67', Dominguez A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
67', Idrissi O. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
71', Cadiz J. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
71', Bautista A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
75', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
75', Romero L. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
85', Rotondi C. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
85', Rivero I. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
90+4', Montiel E. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
Pachuca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Pachuca: Cadiz J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).