The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Querétaro 26.2%
Draw 25.4%
Cruz Azul 48.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.1%
26%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
26%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Querétaro - Cruz Azul Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Allison G. (G) 24. Duarte B. 13. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 8. Parra B. 16. Gimenez E. 11. Coronel M. 7. Benito I. 9. Avila A.
1. Gudino A. (G) 55. Gonzalez R. 33. Piovi G. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 6. Lira E. (C) 8. Palavecino A. 10. Montano A. 11. Ebere C. 7. Ibanez N.
Substitutes
20. Alcala A. 28. Arellano J. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 17. Munoz D. 12. Paulo Victor 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 15. Villanueva C.
60. Castro A. 21. Fernandez G. 16. Marquez J. 23. Mier K. (G) 12. Montes A. 2. Mozo A. 22. Rodarte J. 19. Rodriguez C. 18. Romero L. 29. Rotondi C.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.
Huiqui J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
4', Garcia A. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Montano A. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Coronel M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Coronel M. ⚽, Benito I. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Ibanez N. ⚽, Orozco J. (A),
45+2', 1 - 3, Ebere C. ⚽, Montano A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Duarte B. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
60', Ebere C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
60', Gonzalez R. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
60', Garcia A. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
67', Benito I. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
71', Palavecino A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
78', Avila A. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
79', Parra B. ↓, Arellano J. ↑,
80', Montano A. ↓, Rotondi C. ↑,
84', Parra D. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Cruz Azul may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Cruz Azul is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Querétaro: Homenchenko S.
(Hand Injury).
Confirmed absences for Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Querétaro: Duenas E.
(Knee Injury)
Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Victor
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Cruz Azul: Ditta W.
(Contusion)
Paradela J.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Querétaro has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:32 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Querétaro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).