Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio La Corregidora (Querétaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Querétaro		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.53	Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.58	Watch
	5.35	4.4	1.62
	4.66	4.28	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.57
	4.94	4.15	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (3.93)	4.19 ↑ (3.53)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro
18.8%

Draw
22.4%

Cruz Azul
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

25.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.1%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruz Azul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruz Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Querétaro - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez J. (G) 22. Duarte B. 9. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 6. Homenchenko S. 14. Unjanque J. 37. Coronel M. 17. Venegas F. 31. Avila A.	23. Mier K. (G) 3. Campos O. 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 29. Rotondi C. 6. Lira E. (C) 20. Paradela J. 16. Marquez J. 8. Palavecino A. 19. Rodriguez C. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
20. Alcala A. 25. Allison G. (G) 190. Cazares J. 12. Gomez J. 29. Madrid W. 8. Parra B. 21. Pena F. 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 15. Villanueva C.	170. Castro A. 209. Diaz J. 11. Ebere C. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 194. Morales A. 18. Romero L. 193. Velazquez K.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.	Larcamon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Piovi G. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽, Ditta W. (A),
24', Parra D. 🟨,
29', Venegas F. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Marquez J. (Own goal),
45+2', Palavecino A. 🟨,
45+4', Duarte B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Palavecino A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
62', Paradela J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
63', Unjanque J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
63', Cazares J. ↓, Pena F. ↑,
71', Rotondi C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
78', Duarte B. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
78', Garcia C. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
80', Piovi G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
80', Rodriguez C. ↓, Levy M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 1.

Querétaro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cruz Azul is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Querétaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Ibanez N. (Calf Injury) Orozco J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Jhojan Julio (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	13:8	5	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
17.04.26	Mazatlan - Querétaro	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Querétaro - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Querétaro - Juárez	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlas - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWTWT
- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.26	Cruz Azul - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
11.04.26	Club América - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.04.26	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
24.09.25	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	2:2
23.02.25	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	1:0
23.08.24	Querétaro - Cruz Azul	0:2
02.02.24	Querétaro - Cruz Azul	1:3
24.09.23	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	1:3
29.03.23	Querétaro - Cruz Azul	2:2
27.08.22	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	2:1

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