Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Cruz Azul		Juárez

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.75
	1.52	4.25	5.4
	1.55	4.43	5.93
	1.17	7.30	14.10	Watch
	1.55	4.6	5.03	Watch
	1.45	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.22)	4.84 ↓ (5.5)	6.82 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
66%

Draw
19.9%

Juárez
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.1%

16.4%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cruz Azul - Juárez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 2. Sanchez J. 19. Rodriguez C. 18. Romero L. 29. Rotondi C. 20. Paradela J. 8. Faravelli L. 21. Fernandez G.	1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 3. Mosquera M. 2. Murillo J. 4. Mayorga A. 11. Puma 8. Guilherme Castilho 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 13. Fulgencio R. 19. Estupinan O. 17. Pizarro R.
Substitutes
7. Bogusz M. 3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 16. Marquez J. 15. Rivero I. 161. Rodarte J. 25. Samano Salgado F. 200. Sanchez E. 9. Sepulveda A.	24. Diaz B. (G) 208. Larios I. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 21. Ricardinho 183. Silva L. 200. Sosa C. 191. Torres Trejo A. A. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Romero L. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Pizarro R. ⚽, Guilherme Castilho (A),
19', 1 - 2, Fulgencio R. ⚽,
23', 2 - 2, Fernandez G. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
24', Estupinan O. 🟨,
32', Paradela J. 🟨,
36', 3 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽, Romero L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Murillo J. 🟨,
60', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
70', Rodriguez C. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
77', Fernandez G. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
77', Paradela J. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
77', Romero L. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
78', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
78', Pizarro R. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
85', Faravelli L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
85', Fulgencio R. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.

Cruz Azul has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Juárez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cruz Azul is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A. (Knee Injury) Orozco J. (Red Card) Sepulveda A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury) Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (Injury) Valoyes D. (Injury)

We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
13.09.25	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Cruz Azul - Toluca	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.25	Necaxa - Juárez	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Juárez - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Juárez - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Juárez - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.01.25	Juárez - Cruz Azul	1:0
23.10.24	Cruz Azul - Juárez	4:0
19.01.24	Juárez - Cruz Azul	0:0
01.11.23	Cruz Azul - Juárez	2:0
25.02.23	Cruz Azul - Juárez	1:0
02.09.22	Juárez - Cruz Azul	2:2
15.01.22	Cruz Azul - Juárez	1:0

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