Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 17

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	#Vamos
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.1	7.75
	1.43	4.15	7.9
	1.49	4.2	8.14
	1.14	7.52	19.58	Watch
	1.44	4	8
	1.44	4.31	8.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	4.63 ↑ (4.33)	9.65 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
69%

Draw
20.9%

Ceará
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21.6%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Cruzeiro - Ceará Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Cruzeiro (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cruzeiro (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruzeiro will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 25 - 92.6%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 21. Eduardo 10. Matheus Pereira 19. Kaio Jorge 94. Wanderson	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 23. Willian Machado 79. Matheus Bahia 20. Diego 26. Richardson (C) 97. Lourenco 27. Galeano A. 7. Pedro Henrique 9. Pedro Raul
Substitutes
11. Bolasie Y. 26. Diaz L. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 14. Gamarra M. 34. Jonathan Jesus 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 41. Leo Aragao (G) 7. Marquinhos 8. Matheus Henrique 35. Murilo Rhikman 5. Walace	11. Aylon 29. Bruno Tubarao 33. Eder 77. Fernandinho 88. Fernando Sobral 31. Lucas Lima 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 30. Nicolas 2. Ramos R. 1. Richard (G) 19. Romulo
Coaches
Jardim L.	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽, Lourenco (A),
44', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
56', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
58', Eduardo ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Galeano A. ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
73', Kaiki ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
76', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
83', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
83', Diego ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
83', Galeano A. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
84', Richardson ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).

Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ceará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)

We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
17.07.25	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Cruzeiro - Grêmio	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Cruzeiro - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Ceará - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Internacional RS - Ceará	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Ceará - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.09.19	Ceará - Cruzeiro	0:0
01.05.19	Cruzeiro - Ceará	1:0
24.10.18	Cruzeiro - Ceará	0:2
03.06.18	Ceará - Cruzeiro	0:1

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