Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	9.5
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.41	4.15	7.9	Watch
	1.42	4.32	8.5
	1.4	4.36	8.21
	1.4	4	8
	1.42	4.15	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.15 ↑ (4.08)	8.06 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
66.1%

Draw
22.4%

Goiás
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Cruzeiro - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 6. Kaiki 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 2. Kaua Moraes 11. Gerson 29. Romero L. (C) 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 70. Kenji 19. Kaio Jorge	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. Ramon Menezes 6. Nicolas 35. Luquinhas 5. Filipe Machado 28. Gege 10. Lucas Lima 21. Jean Carlos 40. Kadu
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 88. Christian 23. Fagner 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 16. Lucas Silva 7. Marquinhos 31. Matheus Cunha (G) 17. Sinisterra L. 25. Villalba L. 22. Villarreal N. 94. Wanderson	9. Anselmo Ramon 55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 11. Bruno Savio 20. Diego Caito 54. Djalma Silva 15. Garcia E. 8. Juninho 97. Lourenco 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kadu ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
51', Lucas Lima 🟨,
57', Lucas Lima ↓, Anselmo Ramon ↑,
58', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
58', Gege ↓, Lourenco ↑,
63', Kenji ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
64', Arroyo K. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
70', Gerson ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
76', Jean Carlos ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
81', Matheus Pereira ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
81', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
90+8', Bruno Savio 🟨,
90+9', Lourenco 🟨,
90+9', Romero L. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.

Cruzeiro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Goiás has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Bahia - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Universidad Católica - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	Remo - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLWW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Fortaleza - Goiás	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	São Bernardo - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Goiás - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Goiás - Cruzeiro	2:2
Brazilian Serie A
27.11.23	Goiás - Cruzeiro	0:1
23.07.23	Cruzeiro - Goiás	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
07.09.21	Goiás - Cruzeiro	1:1
12.06.21	Cruzeiro - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
30.09.19	Goiás - Cruzeiro	1:0
05.05.19	Cruzeiro - Goiás	2:1

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