Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Cuiabá		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	9
	1.46	3.9	8
	1.49	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.41	4.2	7.8
	1.43	4.22	8.74
	1.47	3.6	7	Watch
	1.43	4	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	3.98 ↑ (3.67)	7.79 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
64.5%

Draw
23.5%

FBC Melgar
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Cuiabá - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cuiabá is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cuiabá to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
02.04.22	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	4:0 ✺
26.03.22	União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	2:3 ✺
19.03.22	Cuiabá - Dom Bosco	3:0 ✺
12.03.22	Dom Bosco - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.03.22	Figueirense - Cuiabá	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
02.04.22	FBC Melgar - Carlos Stein	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Cantolao - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.03.22	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.22	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.22	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWT

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