Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Cumbayá		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.78
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.73	1.84
	4.18	3.59	1.83	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.73
	4.42	3.49	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (4.17)	3.5 ↓ (3.54)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
21.8%

Draw
26.6%

SD Aucas
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cumbayá - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. San Juan F. (G) 2. Delgado F. 28. Suarez F. 60. Ortiz D. 37. Estacio G. 8. Valencia M. 4. Paredes J. (C) 5. Altuna A. 18. Almagro A. 10. Diaz M. 54. Caicedo B.	1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 16. Rolon C. (C) 3. Ontaneda J. 15. Mina J. 13. Caicedo E. 25. Jaramilo R. 8. Mina A. 10. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 22. Cano L. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 20. Gruezo M. 9. Magoia A. 15. Ontivero L. 27. Ortiz J. 12. Pluas W.	6. Arboleda E. 14. Briones R. 19. Callejo F. 31. Carabali B. 30. Espinosa D. S. 17. Plaza J. 34. Quinonez R. 24. Resendez E. (G) 2. Zova A.
Coaches
Osma Rueda A.	Pereyra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ontaneda J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valencia M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
46', Almagro A. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Blanco J. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
61', Mina A. 🟨,
62', Altuna A. ↓, Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↑,
70', Estacio G. ↓, Rivera K. ↑,
74', Blanco J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
74', Jaramilo R. ↓, Guzman P. ↑,
78', Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↓, Gruezo M. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Guzman P. ⚽, Mina A. (A),
89', Cano L. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
89', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Recently Aucas have a series of home games.

In this match Aucas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.09.24	El Nacional - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Cumbayá - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Cumbayá - Independiente del Valle	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
13.08.24	Guayaquil City - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.09.24	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
04.09.24	SD Aucas - Libertad Loja	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.09.24	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	El Nacional - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.24	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	3:0
24.09.23	Cumbayá - SD Aucas	1:1
24.04.23	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	2:1
02.10.22	Cumbayá - SD Aucas	0:0
07.05.22	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	1:0

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