Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 13

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)


	Cumbayá		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.5	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.83	3.67	1.76
	4.83	3.67	1.74
	4.33	3.6	1.7
	4.66	3.73	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.46)	3.55 ↓ (3.76)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
20.6%

Draw
26.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.8%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.8%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cumbayá - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. San Juan F. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 14. Suarez D. 12. Pluas W. 4. Paredes J. (C) 18. Almagro A. 19. Diaz M. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 22. Serpa T. 10. Tapia R. 17. Carabali E.	1. Burrai J. (G) 14. Rangel A. 88. Ramirez N. 3. Sosa L. 2. Mario Pineida 5. Jesus Trindade 17. Gaibor F. 13. Corozo J. 10. Diaz D. (C) 7. Preciado A. 18. Fydriszewski F.
Substitutes
20. Gruezo M. 1. Lemos A. (G) 9. Magoia A. 60. Ortiz D. 7. Padilla J. 29. Rivera K. 28. Suarez F. 8. Valencia M. 32. Vides B.	70. Arce J. 23. Arroyo D. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 12. Mendoza V. (G) 9. Obando A. 30. Oyola B. 20. Pinatares B. 16. Reasco D. 4. Rodriguez C. 25. Solano C. 27. Vargas W.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
52', Rangel A. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
61', Almagro A. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
69', Gaibor F. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
71', Carabali E. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
71', Serpa T. ↓, Rivera K. ↑,
79', Tapia R. ↓, Magoia A. ↑,
79', Diaz M. ↓, Gruezo M. ↑,
86', Preciado A. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
86', Diaz D. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).

Cumbayá is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barcelona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cumbayá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barcelona have a series of guest games.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Cumbayá - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Emelec - Cumbayá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTL
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
16.05.24	São Paulo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
01.05.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.23	Cumbayá - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2
10.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cumbayá	4:1
22.10.22	Cumbayá - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
29.05.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cumbayá	4:0

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