Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2


	São Paulo		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.5
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.51	8.6
	1.44	4.51	7.86
	1.33	4.4	8	Watch
	1.44	4.5	8.05	Watch
	1.38	4.3	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.27)	4.42 ↓ (5.2)	7.88 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
66.8%

Draw
21.3%

Barcelona Guayaquil
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

17.7%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

São Paulo - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 25. Alisson 8. Giuliano Galoppo 15. Michel Araujo 10. Luciano 47. Ferreirinha 17. Andre Silva	1. Burrai J. (C) 14. Rangel A. 32. Ramirez N. 3. Sosa L. 6. Chala A. 5. Jesus Trindade 7. Preciado A. 17. Gaibor F. 23. Arroyo D. 11. Rojas J. 18. Fydriszewski F.
Substitutes
4. Diego Costa 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 93. Jandrei (G) 30. Joao Moreira 31. Juan Santos 7. Lucas Moura 16. Luiz Gustavo 36. Patryck 18. Rodriguinho 39. William Gomes 50. Young (G)	13. Corozo J. 10. Diaz D. 2. Mario Pineida 12. Mendoza V. (G) 9. Obando A. 30. Oyola B. 16. Reasco D. 4. Rodriguez C. 25. Solano C. 22. Souza de Almeida L. 19. Suarez M. 27. Vargas W.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
57', Rojas J. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
58', Gaibor F. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
58', Arroyo D. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
62', Andre Silva ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
62', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Juan Santos ↑,
69', Preciado A. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
73', Ferreirinha ↓, Erick ↑,
73', Michel Araujo ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
85', Igor Vinicius ↓, Joao Moreira ↑,
85', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
89', Sosa L. 🟨,
90', Solano C. 🟨,
90+3', Jesus Trindade 🟨,

Preview

São Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

São Paulo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barcelona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barcelona have a series of guest games.

In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's São Paulo to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
13.05.24	São Paulo - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Cobresal - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.24	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	Águia de Marabá - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.04.24	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
01.05.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - São Paulo	0:2

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