Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)


	Curicó Unido		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	3.40	3.10	1.98
	2.95	3.2	2.2
	3.26	3.2	2.29
	3.48	3.67	1.96	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.25
	2.82	3.45	2.35
	2.9	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
29.7%

Draw
28.2%

Deportes Concepción
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Concepción aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 21. Ormeno E. 15. Sanhueza H. 4. Colombo R. 40. Oliver F. 14. Medina C. 28. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 19. de La Fuente R. 11. Aliaga I. 27. Alfaro J.	25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 19. Jara A. 31. Fuentes N. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 24. Cavalleri M. 32. Larrivey J. (C) 30. Espinoza E.
Substitutes
13. Bustamante C. 43. Gutierrez F. 37. Guzman R. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 10. Retamales J. 8. Romo J. 24. Saez W. 3. Sarria G. 1. Vergara T. (G)	27. Acosta D. 40. Caceres F. 3. Carrasco D. 9. Escobar C. 8. Manzo F. 15. Montecinos J. 23. Riquelme C. 16. Sandoval M. 36. Sepulveda B. (G)
Coaches
Munoz D.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Larrivey J. (Penalty Awarded),
7', 0 - 2, Rodriguez N. ⚽, Jara A. (A),
17', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
24', Fuentes N. 🟨,
45+2', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 3, Davila Carvajal M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fuentes N. ↓, Manzo F. ↑,
46', Sanhueza H. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
46', Alfaro J. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
50', Fernandez N. 🟨,
68', Aliaga I. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
68', Ibarra H. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
70', Cavalleri M. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
70', Jara A. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Larrivey J. ⚽,
85', Espinoza E. ↓, Carrasco D. ↑,
85', Fernandez N. ↓, Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↑,
88', Larrivey J. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Deportes Concepción is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Curicó Unido has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Curicó Unido against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Curicó Unido - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Concepción - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.09.26	San Marcos de Arica - Curicó Unido	3:0 ✺
08.09.26	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
13.09.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Deportes Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ñublense - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.08.25	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	0:0
30.03.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:3
02.03.16	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	0:6
27.09.15	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	1:1
05.04.15	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	1:1
03.01.15	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:1
07.11.14	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:0

Upcoming Matches