Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cienciano		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.44	3.61
	2.31	3.41	2.96	Watch
	2	3.35	3.55
	2.02	3.55	3.42	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
44.4%

Draw
27.3%

Cusco
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Cienciano - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cusco will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 29. Robles A. 22. Cabello C. 88. Barreto G. 19. Succar M. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)	13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 6. Ampuero A. 2. Gamarra C. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 26. Silva N. 9. Callejo F.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 1. Falcon G. (G) 18. La Torre D. 25. Salazar R. 17. Sandoval R. 27. Yovera A.	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 1. Anderson R. (G) 14. Diez C. 77. Herrera Joel 7. Manzaneda J. 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.	Rabanal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Colman I. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Colitto L. ⚽, Soto D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nunez C. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Becerra K. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Arias Fierro S. D. (Own goal),
63', Garces C. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
73', Montano C. ↓, Valenzuela O. ↑,
73', Callejo F. ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
78', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
81', Colitto L. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
84', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
86', Robles A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
86', Barreto G. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
90+4', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.

Cienciano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cusco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cienciano: Martinich M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury) Diaz P. (Red Card) Fuentes A. (Red Card) Quillahuaman S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cusco: Choi G. (Injury) Custodio A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cusco - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
23.08.26	Sport Boys - Cienciano	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
16.08.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Cienciano - Botafogo RJ	6:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	4:1 ✺
24.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2
18.10.25	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2
13.06.25	Cusco - Cienciano	0:0
28.09.24	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2
27.04.24	Cusco - Cienciano	2:0
16.07.23	Cusco - Cienciano	0:0

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