Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.60	2.95	2.50
	2.48	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.86	3.01	2.7
	2.8	2.96	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.65
	2.69	3.08	2.69	Watch
	2.65	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	2.68 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
34.4%

Draw
30.8%

Cusco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 23. Moreno X. 10. Sandoval K. 8. Gonzalez A. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.	28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 26. Silva N. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Flores C. M. 35. Mendoza J. 24. Olivares C. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 33. Villacorta S. 34. Yupanqui B.	15. Bolivar J. 22. Colitto L. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 88. Soto D. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Greppo L.	Rabanal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Diaz P. 🟥,
34', Manzaneda J. ↓, Vidal A. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Castelli F. (A),
45+4', Colman I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Moreno X. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Castelli F. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Diez C. ↓, Colitto L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Ampuero A. ⚽,
62', Rosell Delgado J. A. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Sandoval K. ⚽, Castelli F. (A),
73', Castelli F. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
77', Fuentes A. 🟨,
81', Zevallos J. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
81', Lagos R. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
86', Da Silva B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽,
90+3', Fuentes A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0.

Deportivo Garcilaso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cusco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury) Colitto L. (Injury) Quillahuaman S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cusco: Choi G. (Injury) Custodio A. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Garcilaso - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Cusco - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
16.08.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
14.08.26	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	4:1 ✺
24.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa de la Liga
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0
Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.26	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
30.09.25	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:0
11.05.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	1:3
29.07.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:2
17.02.24	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
16.09.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	2:1

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