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Current Win Probability
DC United 48.1%
Draw 25.7%
CF Montréal 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
23.9%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
23.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
DC United - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 8. Stroud J. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 11. Munteanu L. 9. Baribo T.
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Morales E. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 29. Escobar O. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 16. Carmona W. 9. Owusu P. (C) 23. Streit N.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 30. Clark C. 24. Farr J. (G) 25. Hopkins J. 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 17. Murrell J. 48. Turner G.
25. Amaya F. 1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 2. Neal J. 7. Opoku M. 6. Piette S. 14. Rios D. 18. Synchuk G. 17. Thorhallsson D.
Coaches
Weiler R.
Eullaffroy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Munteanu L. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Stroud J. ⚽,
31', Escobar O. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Escobar O. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
46', Bugaj D. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Baribo T. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 3 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽,
62', Servania B. 🟨,
62', Rios D. 🟨,
67', Baribo T. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
67', Stroud J. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
67', Streit N. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
78', Hefti S. ↓, Antley C. ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Bartlett L. ⚽, Kurokawa K. (A),
90+4', 4 - 3, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 4 - 4, Synchuk G. ⚽, Owusu P. (A),
90+7', Loturi V. 🟨,
90+10', Munteanu L. ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
90+10', Bartlett L. 🟨,
90+11', Owusu P. 🟨,
90+11', Longstaff M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
DC United could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in DC United: Nealis S.
(Broken collarbone)
Segal G.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury)
Ibrahim S.
(Back Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
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Johnson S. (G) 
Hefti S. 
Rowles K. 
Kurokawa K. 
Peltola M. 
Peglow 
Munteanu L. 
Baribo T. 
Gillier T. (G) 
Bugaj D. 
Morales E. 
Vera B. 
Petrasso L. 
Escobar O. 
Longstaff M. 
Carmona W. 
Owusu P. (C) 
Rios D. 
Synchuk G. 
Thorhallsson D. 
Eullaffroy P. 
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