Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC)

Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	DC United		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.38	3.45	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.6	3.07
	2.39	3.28	3.04	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.39	3.5	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

DC United
41.9%

Draw
27.5%

St. Louis City
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

DC United - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 25. Hopkins J. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 11. Munteanu L. 9. Baribo T.	1. Burki R. (C) 27. Fall F. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos 77. Jeong S. 11. Becher S. 36. Teuchert C.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 30. Clark C. 24. Farr J. (G) 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 17. Murrell J. 8. Stroud J. 48. Turner G.	16. Cordova S. 24. Edelman D. 22. Hiebert K. 59. Joyner M. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 14. Totland T.
Coaches
Weiler R.	Damet Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Fall F. 🟨,
41', Wallem C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Durkin C. ⚽, Jeong S. (A),
58', Perez M. 🟨,
60', Hopkins J. 🟨,
62', Peltola M. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
63', Jeong S. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
63', Teuchert C. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
63', Perez M. ↓, Edelman D. ↑,
70', Hefti S. 🟨,
78', Kurokawa K. ↓, Antley C. ↑,
78', Hopkins J. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
78', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Peglow ⚽,
90+1', Becher S. ↓, Mbacke M. ↑,
90+2', Wallem C. 🟨,
90+3', Rowles K. 🟨,
90+5', Mbacke M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in DC United: Nealis S. (Broken collarbone) Segal G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu (Knee Injury) Ostrak T. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Orozco J. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, DC United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of MLS for now

St. Louis City: 3.85% DC United: 1.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
13.05.26	DC United - Chicago Fire	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Nashville SC - DC United	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	New York City - DC United	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	DC United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	New York Red Bulls - DC United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LTWWT
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
13.05.26	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Austin FC - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Chicago Fire - St. Louis City	1:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.03.24	St. Louis City - DC United	2:2

Upcoming Matches