Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: DGB Daegu Bank Park (Daegu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Nigeria	Sporty TV
South-korea	JTBC Golf&Sports
World	K League TV


	Daegu		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.85
	2.39	3.25	2.8
	2.48	3.35	2.98
	2.42	3.27	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.43	3.34	2.93	Watch
	2.39	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu
39.1%

Draw
28.4%

Incheon United
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Daegu - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Oh Seung-Hoon (G) 40. Park Jin-young 4. Marcelo 15. Lee Won-Woo 22. Jang Sung-won 8. Lee Chan-Dong 74. Lee Yong-Rae 29. Park Jae-Hyun 10. Go Jae-Hyeon 19. Kim Yeong-Jun 32. Jeong Chi-In	25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 23. Jeong Dong-yun 82. Jonjic M. 20. Delbridge H. 28. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 6. Moon Ji-Hwan 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 77. Park Seung-Ho 11. Gerso 27. Kim Bo-Sub
Substitutes
3. Ahn Chang-Min 31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 18. Jae-sang Jeong 44. Jeong Hyun Kim 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 7. Kim Jin-Hyeok 14. Park Se-Jin 25. Son Seung-min	21. Baek Min-gyu 22. Ji Eon-Hak 47. Kim Dong-Min 66. Kim Se-Hoon 3. Kim Yeon-Soo 1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 9. Mugosa S. 4. Oh Ban-Suk 19. Song Si-Woo
Coaches
Chang-Hyun Park	Young-Geun C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Gerso ⚽, Park Seung-Ho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Ji Eon-Hak ↑,
46', Marcelo ↓, Kim Jin-Hyeok ↑,
46', Jang Sung-won ↓, Kim Hyeon-jun ↑,
46', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Gerso ⚽, Kim Bo-Sub (A),
53', Kim Yeong-Jun ↓, Jae-sang Jeong ↑,
58', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Kim Dong-Min ↑,
64', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Jeong Hyun Kim ↑,
65', Moon Ji-Hwan 🟨,
66', Kim Bo-Sub ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
66', Kim Do-Hyeok ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
82', Gerso ↓, Song Si-Woo ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Park Jae-Hyun ⚽, Park Jin-young (A),
90+8', 1 - 3, Ji Eon-Hak ⚽, Moon Ji-Hwan (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daegu won 1.

Recent matches Daegu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Incheon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Incheon have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Daegu won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Daegu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
10.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daegu	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Daegu - Jeju	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Daejeon Citizen - Daegu	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Gwangju - Daegu	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Daegu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
10.11.24	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Incheon United - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Incheon United - Jeju	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Incheon United - Gangwon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
31.08.24	Daegu - Incheon United	1:2
09.07.24	Daegu - Incheon United	0:0
14.04.24	Incheon United - Daegu	1:1
03.12.23	Daegu - Incheon United	2:1
13.08.23	Incheon United - Daegu	3:1
27.05.23	Daegu - Incheon United	2:2
01.04.23	Incheon United - Daegu	0:0

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