Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Jardines del Hipodromo (Montevideo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4


	Danubio		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.4	4.4
	1.85	3.48	4.55
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.85	3.48	4.3	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.96)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	4.24 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
50.3%

Draw
27.7%

Guaraní Asuncion
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Danubio - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (G) 17. Haller R. 21. Rea M. 3. Monzon L. 34. Lewis K. 10. May G. 14. Millan J. 6. Sosa L. 5. Silva S. 30. Fernandez S. 16. Cruz Techera A.	1. Munoz R. (G) 2. Raul Caceres 5. Gil Romero G. 27. Roman Torales F. J. 3. Moya J. 21. Dorrego H. 37. Clar W. 20. Rios R. D. 28. Benitez B. 9. Santander F. 7. Camacho N.
Substitutes
26. Anasco M. 27. Arguello M. 32. Bermudez E. (G) 2. Etchebarne S. 23. Garcia E. 35. Martinicorena F. 25. Pintos I. 19. Romero S. 22. Saravia F. 29. Sarmiento J. 7. Silvera F. 9. Vera D.	13. Barbotte A. 31. Barcelo F. 4. Benitez M. 22. Borja E. 32. Cantero A. 10. Farina L. 17. Fernandez B. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 8. Moreira E. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 25. Sanchez A. (G) 14. Vargas G.
Coaches
Conde E.	Lopez R.

Preview

Danubio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Danubio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.05.23	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	La Luz - Danubio	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Danubio	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.04.23	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
17.05.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
14.05.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
19.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Danubio	2:1

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