Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1
Argentina	08:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	21:00	beIN Connect
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Belgium	13:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	07:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	13:00	New World TV
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	14:00	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	19:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:00	Net4+
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Laos	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	13:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Philippines	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Portugal	12:00	DAZN 3
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	14:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:00	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	18:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+
International	11:00	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.25
	3.05	3.85	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.95	2.16
	3.13	3.84	2.13	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.83	2.09	Watch
	3.05	3.85	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)	3.85 ↓ (3.86)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
31.2%

Draw
24.6%

Hamburger SV
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	15%	65%

Darmstadt - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hamburg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Hamburg (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 3. Bueno G. 16. Muller A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 9. Hornby F. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 28. Muheim M. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. (C) 45. Balde F. 27. Selke D. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
10. Boetius J-P. 11. Kempe T. 17. Klefisch K. 43. Kroll S. (G) 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M.	9. Glatzel R. 30. Hefti S. 17. Karabec A. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 29. Sahiti E. 4. Schonlau S. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Forster P. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
29', Bueno G. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
43', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
60', Vukotic A. 🟨,
60', Selke D. 🟨,
68', Forster P. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
69', Muller A. 🟨,
74', Dompe J. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
74', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
75', Schonlau S. 🟨,
77', Meffert J. 🟨,
80', 0 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
81', Lopez S. ↓, Klefisch K. ↑,
81', Corredor K. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
82', Muller A. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Glatzel R. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Brunst A. (Groin Injury) Dreskovic M. (Groin Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.25	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Darmstadt - Hannover	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
27.04.25	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.24	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2
25.02.23	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	1:1
19.08.22	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	1:2
06.02.22	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	0:5
22.08.21	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2
09.04.21	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	1:2
12.12.20	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	1:2

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