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Darmstadt - Hamburger SV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Darmstadt Hamburger SV
    Darmstadt Hamburger SV
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.85 ↓
    (3.86)    		 2.14 ↓
    (2.24)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Darmstadt
    31.2%    		Draw
    24.6%    		Hamburger SV
    44.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    33.5% 24.5% 42%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    32.2% 25.5% 43.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    20% 15% 65%

    Darmstadt - Hamburger SV Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Hamburg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Hamburg (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanySchuhen M. (G)
      2. SpainLopez S.
    38. GermanyRiedel C. (C)
    20. SerbiaVukotic A.
      3. SpainBueno G.
    16. GermanyMuller A.
    15. BulgariaNurnberger F.
    18. GermanyForster P.
      9. ScotlandHornby F.
    34. FranceCorredor K.
      7. SwedenLidberg I.
    		  1. PortugalHeuer Fernandes D. (G)
    28. SwitzerlandMuheim M.
      5. BosniaHadzikadunic D.
      8. LibyaElfadli D.
      2. FranceMikelbrencis W.
    11. GhanaKonigsdorffer R.
    23. GermanyMeffert J.
    14. NetherlandsReis L. (C)
    45. GermanyBalde F.
    27. GermanySelke D.
      7. FranceDompe J.
    Substitutes
    10. NetherlandsBoetius J-P.
    11. GermanyKempe T.
    17. GermanyKlefisch K.
    43. GermanyKroll S. (G)
    19. GermanyLakenmacher F.
      5. CroatiaMaglica M.
      8. GermanyMarseiler L.
    21. GermanyPapela M.
    13. GermanyThiede M.
    		  9. GermanyGlatzel R.
    30. SwitzerlandHefti S.
    17. CzechKarabec A.
    10. SurinamePherai I.
      6. PolandPoreba L.
    19. GermanyRaab M. (G)
    29. KosovoSahiti E.
      4. GermanySchonlau S.
    49. GermanyStange O.
    Coaches
         GermanyKohfeldt F.
    		     GermanyPolzin M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 15', Forster P. 🟨,
    • 23', 0 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
    • 29', Bueno G. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
    • 43', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
    • 46', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
    • 57', 0 - 2, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
    • 60', Vukotic A. 🟨,
    • 60', Selke D. 🟨,
    • 68', Forster P. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
    • 69', Muller A. 🟨,
    • 74', Dompe J. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
    • 74', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
    • 75', Schonlau S. 🟨,
    • 77', Meffert J. 🟨,
    • 80', 0 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
    • 81', Lopez S. ↓, Klefisch K. ↑,
    • 81', Corredor K. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
    • 82', Muller A. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
    • 82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
    • 90+5', 0 - 4, Glatzel R. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),

    Preview

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Brunst A. (Groin Injury) Dreskovic M. (Groin Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SV Darmstadt 98
    German 2 Bundesliga
    26.04.25 Preußen Münster - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺
    20.04.25 Darmstadt - Hannover 3:1 ✺
    12.04.25 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺
    05.04.25 Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺
    28.03.25 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8
    TWTWL
    - Hamburger SV
    German 2 Bundesliga
    27.04.25 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺
    19.04.25 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    11.04.25 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺
    05.04.25 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    28.03.25 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2
    LTLWT
    Latest Head to Head
    German 2 Bundesliga
    08.12.24 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 2:2
    25.02.23 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 1:1
    19.08.22 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 1:2
    06.02.22 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 0:5
    22.08.21 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 2:2
    09.04.21 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 1:2
    12.12.20 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SV Darmstadt 98
    German 2 Bundesliga
    10.10.26 Darmstadt - Energie Cottbus ✺
    - Hamburger SV
    German Bundesliga
    10.10.26 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV ✺

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