Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Mainz

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.3	Watch
	3.16	3.6	2.33
	3.14	3.51	2.36
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.13	3.5	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.73)	3.53 ↓ (3.64)	2.28 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
30.8%

Draw
27.2%

Mainz
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	31%	55.2%

Darmstadt - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Mainz will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 4. Zimmermann C. 20. Muller J. 14. Klarer C. 26. Bader M. 28. Franjic B. 15. Nurnberger F. 27. Skarke T. 6. Mehlem M. 24. Pfeiffer L. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	27. Zentner R. (C) 3. van den Berg S. 31. Kohr D. 5. Leitsch M. 21. da Costa D. 8. Barreiro L. 14. Krauss T. 2. Mwene P. 9. Onisiwo K. 17. Ajorque L. 7. Lee Jae-Sung
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 18. Honsak M. 9. Hornby F. 3. Isherwood T. 19. Karic E. 16. Muller A. 38. Riedel C. 8. Schnellhardt F. 22. Seydel A.	4. Barkok A. 19. Caci A. 20. Fernandes E. 43. Gruda B. 45. Mamutovic D. 24. Papela M. 10. Richter M. 1. Riess L. (G) 30. Widmer S.
Coaches
Hajou O.	Siewert J.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Holland F. (Red Card) Maglica M. (Red Card) Manu B. M. (Ankle Injury) Torsiello F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mainz: Guilavogui J. (Thigh Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Ankle Injury) Weiper N. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Mainz: Bell S. (Muscle Injury) Burkardt J. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
03.11.23	Darmstadt - Bochum	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Bayern Munich - Darmstadt	8:0 ✺
21.10.23	Darmstadt - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Darmstadt - Elversberg	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.10.23	Augsburg - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Mainz - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Hertha Berlin - Mainz	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.10.23	Bochum - Mainz	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Mainz - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
06.10.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.11.19	Mainz - Darmstadt	2:1
German Bundesliga
11.03.17	Darmstadt - Mainz	2:1
16.10.16	Mainz - Darmstadt	2:1
06.03.16	Mainz - Darmstadt	0:0
02.10.15	Darmstadt - Mainz	2:3

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