Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Augsburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.72	4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4.33
	1.81	3.99	4.58
	1.75	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.79	3.96	4.3	Watch
	1.82	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.9 ↑ (3.89)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
53.7%

Draw
24.5%

Darmstadt
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Augsburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 27 - 75%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Pfeiffer P. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 19. Uduokhai F. 2. Gumny R. 18. Breithaupt T. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 22. Iago 21. Tietz P. 9. Demirovic E. (C) 7. Beljo D.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 14. Klarer C. 20. Muller J. 5. Maglica M. 26. Bader M. 6. Mehlem M. 32. Holland F. (C) 11. Kempe T. 15. Nurnberger F. 24. Pfeiffer L. 27. Skarke T.
Substitutes
23. Bauer M. 48. Cardona I. 30. Dorsch N. 24. Jensen F. 40. Koubek T. (G) 10. Maier A. 43. Mbabu K. 20. Michel S. 3. Pedersen M.	30. Brunst A. (G) 28. Franjic B. 18. Honsak M. 9. Hornby F. 3. Isherwood T. 16. Muller A. 38. Riedel C. 8. Schnellhardt F. 29. Vilhelmsson O.
Coaches
Maassen E.	Lieberknecht T.

Preview

Recent matches Augsburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darmstadt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Augsburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Augsburg: Engels A. (Red Card) Framberger R. (Knee Injury) Okugawa M. (Injury) Tanganga J. (Knee Injury) Winther F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Gjasula K. (Groin Injury) Holland F. (Leg Injury) Karic E. (Muscle Injury) Manu B. M. (Illness) Torsiello F. (Hip Injury) Zimmermann C. (Back Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
01.10.23	Freiburg - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Augsburg - Mainz	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.09.23	Augsburg - Bochum	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWT
- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
01.10.23	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	4:2 ✺
22.09.23	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Darmstadt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
02.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
26.08.23	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.02.17	Darmstadt - Augsburg	1:2
24.09.16	Augsburg - Darmstadt	1:0
12.03.16	Darmstadt - Augsburg	2:2
17.10.15	Augsburg - Darmstadt	0:2

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