Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 2, Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Net4+
Iceland	17:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport+
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:30	Showmax, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
International	17:30	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.75
	1.92	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.91
	1.88	3.72	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	3.74 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
48.7%

Draw
26.1%

Nürnberg
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	9.7%	19.4%

Darmstadt - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 55% – 87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 17. Klefisch K. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 2. Lopez S. 21. Papela M. 16. Akiyama H. 8. Marseiler L. 23. Richter M. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	1. Reichert J. (G) 15. Drexler T. 4. Gruber F. 24. Lochoshvili L. 41. Porstner E. 25. Becker F. O. 6. Markhiev A. 18. Lubach R. 10. Justvan J. 39. Scobel P. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 19. Lakenmacher F. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Petretta R. 31. Schmidt N. 20. Vukotic A.	5. Baack T. 7. Biron M. 17. Chaikhoun A. 3. Danilo Soares 33. Grimaldi A. 32. Janisch T. 31. Knoche R. 37. Maboulou N. 26. Mathenia C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Akiyama H. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Marseiler L. ⚽,
76', Justvan J. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
76', Porstner E. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
77', Papela M. 🟨,
79', Marseiler L. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
79', Richter M. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
84', Zoma M. A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
84', Lubach R. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
87', Akiyama H. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
90+5', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Darmstadt could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Corredor K. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Yilmaz B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Grimaldi A. (Health problems)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21:12	9	18
18	Darmstadt	9	2	2	5	8:18	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTWW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Nürnberg - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Nürnberg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1
31.01.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	1:0
25.08.24	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	1:1
31.03.23	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1
17.09.22	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0
09.04.22	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	3:1
29.10.21	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0

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