The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
De Graafschap 39.4%
Draw 25.3%
Heracles Almelo 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
26.5%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
25.4%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Heracles will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Smits J. (G) 2. Saarinen S. 3. Besselink R. 20. Hillen R. 5. Schoppema L. 8. Warmerdam D. 23. Brittijn P. 27. Najah A. 28. van der Heide A. 26. Seuntjens R. (C) 30. El Kadiri I.
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 3. Wieckhoff J. 21. Hoogma J. 24. Mesik I. 22. Milani L. 17. Bruns T. 13. Zamburek J. 14. De Keersmaecker B. (C) 23. Talvitie J. 9. Hornkamp J. 8. Engels M.
Substitutes
47. El Jebli Y. 22. Fortes J. 29. Grotenhuis T. 6. Kaak L. 39. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 10. Mahi M. 21. Symons K. 7. van Gilst T. 1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Willemsen M. 34. Yadir A.
2. Benita M. 5. Bruijn J. 16. Jansink T. (G) 18. Leerdam K. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 4. Mirani D. 29. Podgoreanu S. 27. Tijink J. 26. van Kaam D. 20. van Oorschot D. 10. Zand S.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.
van de Looi E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bruns T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brittijn P. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
56', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
64', Schoppema L. 🟨,
66', Talvitie J. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
66', Bruns T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Podgoreanu S. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
68', Saarinen S. ↓, Fortes J. ↑,
68', van der Heide A. ↓, Mahi M. ↑,
71', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
75', Seuntjens R. ↓, Hassan B. ↑,
82', Schoppema L. ↓, Willemsen M. ↑,
82', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
82', El Kadiri I. 🟨,
86', Engels M. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
86', Zamburek J. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
87', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
De Graafschap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:25 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
Netherlands
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Smits J. (G) 
Saarinen S. 
El Kadiri I. 
Wieckhoff J. 
Mesik I. 
Milani L. 
Zamburek J. 
De Keersmaecker B. (C) 
Fortes J. 
Kaninda N. 
Leerdam K. 
Podgoreanu S. 
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