Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Defensa y Justicia		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.23	2.95	3.45	Watch
	2.08	2.95	3.56
	2.13	3.15	3.68
	2.15	3.1	3.7
	2.13	3.18	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.76)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.56 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
43.6%

Draw
30.1%

Santos
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

21.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.7%	8.1%	16.2%

Defensa y Justicia - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Santos will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
24.02.20	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
17.02.20	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
08.02.20	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	0:0 ✺
01.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWTT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.02.20	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
22.02.20	Ituano - Santos	2:0 ✺
16.02.20	Ferroviária - Santos	0:0 ✺
10.02.20	Santos - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Corinthians - Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTWL

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