Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Boston River

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.75
	1.93	3.25	3.85
	2.01	3.39	4.08
	2.01	3.22	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3.10	3.80
	1.98	3.25	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)	3.24 ↑ (3.01)	3.94 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
47.6%

Draw
28.8%

Boston River
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.8%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 3. De los Santos G. 30. Cuello E. 15. Frugone A. 5. Barrios G. 6. Amaro M. 24. de los Santos L. 8. Wunsch N. 9. Machado A. 26. Montenegro B.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 3. Mancebo M. 30. Gonzalez M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 17. Haller R. 10. Amado A. 16. Suhr L. 26. Munoa F. 32. Gonzalez Y. 8. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
25. Abella D. 33. Bruschi S. 77. Castro F. 97. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 27. Juan Jorge 7. Lozano B. 1. Machado L. (G) 2. Martinez D. 28. Navarro L. 4. Rodriguez G.	25. Aguirre A. 5. Barrios F. 14. Dafonte F. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 29. Lima A. 28. Martinicorena F. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 2. Sotto K.
Coaches
Miranda G.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Mancebo M. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
25', Wunsch N. 🟨,
42', Amaro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Frugone A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Munoa F. ⚽,
64', Cuello E. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
64', Amaro M. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Machado A. ⚽,
76', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
79', Wunsch N. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
83', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
83', Munoa F. ↓, Dafonte F. ↑,
83', Amado A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
87', Perez F. 🟨,
88', Ramirez G. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', Machado A. ↓, Juan Jorge ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 3.

Recent form of Defensor Sporting has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Boston River has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLLT
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.06.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	São Paulo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Cerro Largo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Boston River - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
02.08.25	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	4:0
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
Uruguay Copa
22.11.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	1:2
05.04.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	2:2
20.11.23	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0

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