Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Artigas Las Piedras (Las Piedras)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Spain	Gol Play
Uruguay	VTV+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	2.75	3.15	2.49	Watch
	3.18	3.22	2.33
	2.8	3.16	2.55
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.83	3.18	2.49	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.08)	3.16 ↓ (3.27)	2.44 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
32.7%

Draw
29.4%

Defensor Sporting
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Juventud de Las Piedras - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (G) 24. Barrandeguy F. 4. Gauthier V. 20. Rodriguez M. 23. Mas E. 32. Rossi I. 21. Perez F. 22. Chagas R. 7. Larregui B. 9. Rodriguez A. 80. Urretaviscaya J.	12. Dawson K. (G) 21. Prieto K. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Viacava J. 16. Alvarez J. 18. Soria A. 45. Ginella F. 8. Altez K. 59. Montoya W. 7. Soldano F. 40. Gomez M.
Substitutes
27. Boselli M. 14. Duffard Villarreal M. N. 28. Leguizamon N. 5. Morosini D. 37. Peralta R. 30. Pirez P. 31. Rodriguez I. 77. Rodriguez T. 12. Varese F. (G) 11. Vigo F.	10. Abaldo M. 19. Abreu D. 11. Agazzi L. 22. Barco A. 25. Biscayzacu X. 17. Cadenazzi F. 27. Juan Jorge 1. Machado L. (G) 13. Marchesini F. 14. Pacifico P.
Coaches
Monarriz D.	Navarro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
25', Altez K. 🟨,
35', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Soldano F. ↓, Abaldo M. ↑,
46', Altez K. ↓, Agazzi L. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Gauthier V. ⚽,
55', Prieto K. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
66', Perez F. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
72', Larregui B. ↓, Boselli M. ↑,
72', Barrandeguy F. ↓, Morosini D. ↑,
72', Ginella F. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Abreu D. ⚽,
85', Montoya W. ↓, Cadenazzi F. ↑,
87', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
90+2', Boselli M. 🟨,
90+4', Cadenazzi F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventud won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Defensor Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Juventud won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26:24 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.03.25	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWTT
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Monagas	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.11.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Defensor Sporting	3:3
21.07.21	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Defensor Sporting	1:3
20.07.19	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1
09.03.19	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:4
09.09.17	Juventud de Las Piedras - Defensor Sporting	0:1
24.02.17	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1

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