Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.77	3.12	2.79
	2.72	2.98	2.76	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.7
	2.69	3.06	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.17)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	2.71 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
34.6%

Draw
31.1%

Defensor Sporting
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plaza Colonia's form might have worsened.

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensor Sporting's recent form is better than expected.

Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Silva J. (G) 20. Redin E. 2. Lorenzi M. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 22. Ramos J. 27. Barros C. 23. Piriz F. (C) 3. Calleros Y. 80. Carrizo L. 9. Alex Bruno 7. Diogo Oliveira	12. Dawson K. (G) 21. Prieto K. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 13. Marchesini F. 16. Alvarez J. 22. Barco A. 45. Ginella F. 26. Wunsch N. 59. Montoya W. 7. Soldano F. 19. Abreu D.
Substitutes
18. Cayetano A. 10. Ebere C. 13. Garcia J. 5. Meite Y. 30. Ocampo A. 17. Otegui S. 11. Pablo Garcia 6. Redin M. 44. Reyes G. (G) 8. Villalba D.	8. Altez K. 6. Amaro M. 5. Barrios G. 25. Biscayzacu X. 17. Cadenazzi F. 9. Cambon A. 29. Dudok R. 31. Furtado N. 27. Juan Jorge 1. Machado L. (G)
Coaches
Diaz S.	Navarro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Montoya W. ⚽,
15', Wunsch N. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
16', 1 - 1, Diogo Oliveira (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 2, Prieto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abreu D. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
60', Ginella F. 🟨,
63', Alex Bruno ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
63', Piriz F. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
63', Barros C. ↓, Pablo Garcia ↑,
72', Carrizo L. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
73', Montoya W. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
74', Ginella F. ↓, Barrios G. ↑,
75', Barco A. 🟨,
75', Ebere C. 🟨,
82', Prieto K. ↓, Juan Jorge ↑,
86', Calleros Y. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
90+6', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plaza Colonia won 1.

Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plaza Colonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:24 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:10 (average 0.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.02.25	Cerro - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Miramar Misiones - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.11.24	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Monagas	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
28.02.24	Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.11.23	Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting	0:2
24.03.23	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	4:0
28.08.22	Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting	0:1
24.07.22	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	1:2
12.03.22	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	0:0
07.02.21	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	3:2

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