Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV6
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Monagas

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	8	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.59	9.51
	1.42	4.38	8.53	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.36	7.75	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	4.42 ↑ (3.95)	8.04 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
66.9%

Draw
21.4%

Monagas
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Defensor Sporting - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 13. Marchesini F. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Viacava J. 16. Alvarez J. 21. Prieto K. 18. Soria A. 22. Barco A. 17. Cadenazzi F. 59. Montoya W. 7. Soldano F.	1. Olivares R. (G) 21. Iniguez E. 6. Piris O. 19. Manrique R. 29. Henry N. 8. Romero A. 10. Navas E. 18. Caraballo J. 11. Gallardo E. 9. Rodriguez T. (C) 7. Basante F.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 8. Altez K. 6. Amaro M. 25. Biscayzacu X. 9. Cambon A. 29. Dudok R. 31. Furtado N. 45. Ginella F. 27. Juan Jorge 1. Machado L. (G) 28. Navarro L. 26. Wunsch N.	33. Alderete E. 16. Carrion E. 23. Lovera J. 5. Macelli A. 35. Natera S. 34. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 32. Ramirez C. 12. Riveros T. (G) 14. Rivero V. 77. Rodriguez L. 39. Rodriguez R. 30. Sulbaran Y.
Coaches
Navarro A.	Ferreira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Basante F. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Romero A. (A),
35', Marchesini F. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
45+2', Prieto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Basante F. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
46', Manrique R. ↓, Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. ↑,
46', Prieto K. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
46', Montoya W. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
46', Cadenazzi F. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Romero A. ⚽, Gallardo E. (A),
63', Barco A. 🟨,
63', Navas E. ↓, Sulbaran Y. ↑,
65', Soldano F. ↓, Ginella F. ↑,
76', De los Santos G. 🟨,
82', Gallardo E. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
86', Romero A. 🟨,
90', Romero A. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
90+2', Soria A. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensor Sporting is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 penalties ✺
18.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Independiente	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.02.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.01.25	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	1:4 ✺
24.01.25	Monagas - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Monagas - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0
25.04.18	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	1:0
17.04.18	Defensor Sporting - Monagas	3:1

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