Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Defensores Unidos		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.63	4
	2.25	2.75	3.5
	2.3	2.75	3.6
	2.35	2.75	3.86
	2.32	2.6	4	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.6
	2.29	2.6	3.88
	2.25	2.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)	2.69 ↑ (2.64)	3.78 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
40.9%

Draw
34.6%

Gimnasia y Tiro
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

34.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.3%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores Unidos: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Morales A. 6. Mariatti M. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortigoza M. 5. Sivetti F. 7. Cavagnero N. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Toniolo V. 11. Fernandez K.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Abello D. 8. Galetto J. 5. Chaves A. 10. Carrasco D. 11. Heredia F. 7. Rocca J. 9. Attis T.
Substitutes
12. Aquino M. (G) 16. Arregui L. 20. Caballero F. 13. Contreras M. 17. Guerra Brian 18. Lonardi F. 19. Peralta M. 14. Rapetti M. 15. Silva F.	12. Cosentino F. (G) 19. Duarte B. 15. Esparza M. 20. Lopez S. 13. Monti I. 17. Narese E. 18. Rojas F. 14. Sanabria I. 16. Villarreal R.
Coaches
Lema D.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Carrasco D. ⚽,
38', Cavagnero N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cavagnero N. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
46', Ponce J. ↓, Guerra Brian ↑,
53', Olivera L. 🟨,
63', Fernandez K. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
69', Chaves I. F. ↓, Narese E. ↑,
69', Rocca J. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
75', Attis T. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
79', Neira E. 🟨,
90+1', Caballero F. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimnasia y Tiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Defensores Unidos will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Mitre - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Defensores Unidos - Colón	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.07.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Telmo	0:3 ✺
23.06.24	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores Unidos	1:0

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