Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.1
	2.35	2.65	3.6	Watch
	2.56	2.5	3.85
	2.53	2.47	3.77	Watch
	2.38	2.7	3.3
	2.59	2.32	3.78
	2.35	2.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)	2.61 ↓ (2.99)	3.56 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
38.2%

Draw
35.7%

Deportivo Madryn
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Tiro's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Tallura A. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Olivera L. 5. Birge M. 8. Rojas F. 7. Galetto J. 10. Busse W. (C) 11. Rinaldi N. 9. Contin N.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Martinez D. 4. Sosa A. 6. Gutierrez A. 5. Recalde F. 8. Perez B. 11. Rivero G. 7. Crego D. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.
Substitutes
18. Aguirre J. 16. Chaves I. F. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Heredia F. 14. Herrera M. 20. Mendez J. 13. Monti I. 15. Morello M. 19. Sivetti F.	16. Bustos A. 17. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Jara E. 19. Juncos B. 13. Minissale P. 14. Pruzzo L. 20. Torres G. 15. Yossen T.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Contin N. ⚽,
14', Tallura A. 🟨,
21', Galetto J. 🟨,
36', Olivera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Olivera L. 🟨,
50', Rojas F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
50', Galetto J. ↓, Chaves I. F. ↑,
55', Sosa A. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
60', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
71', Busse W. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
74', Perez B. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
74', Recalde F. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
81', Contin N. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
81', Rinaldi N. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
86', Martinez D. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Silba L. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Madryn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gimnasia y Tiro have a series of guest games.

Gimnasia y Tiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia y Tiro - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Los Andes - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.03.25	Aldosivi - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Güemes	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
24.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

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