Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Defensores Unidos		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.49	2.8	2.9
	2.51	2.77	3.28
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.5	3	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.93)	2.83 ↑ (2.71)	2.9 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
36.3%

Draw
32.2%

San Miguel
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

34.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

35.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores Unidos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Defensores Unidos - San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 1.

Defensores Unidos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Miguel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores Unidos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores Unidos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
18.03.22	Fénix - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Defensores Unidos - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Los Andes - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Defensores Unidos - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Cañuelas - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTTWW
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
20.03.22	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	UAI Urquiza - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	San Miguel - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	San Miguel - Fénix	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.10.21	San Miguel - Defensores Unidos	1:1
22.06.21	Defensores Unidos - San Miguel	2:0
04.01.21	Defensores Unidos - San Miguel	2:2
01.03.20	San Miguel - Defensores Unidos	1:1
15.09.19	Defensores Unidos - San Miguel	0:2
13.03.19	Defensores Unidos - San Miguel	1:2
03.10.18	San Miguel - Defensores Unidos	0:0

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