The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 32.3%
Draw 42.2%
Central Norte 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
30.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's form might have worsened.
Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.3%
91.8%
4.9%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Central Norte Predictions
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Def Belgrano VR will win (votes: 2 - 3.3%). Central Norte will win (votes: 3 - 4.9%). It will Tie (votes: 56 - 91.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 84.9% – 98.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Defensores Belgrano VR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Central Norte is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Defensores Belgrano VR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Defensores Belgrano VR will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensores Belgrano VR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensores Belgrano VR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.